Week 8

Against the spread: 15–40–1 (27.3%).

Game	Final	Sunday line	Close	Model	Pick · edge	Result	Line value
Middle Tennessee at FIU	26–23	FIU −10.5	FIU −10.5	FIU −10.2	Middle Tennessee +10.5 0.3	✓ Win	0.0
Missouri State at Delaware	38–61	Delaware −3	Delaware −3	Delaware −2.9	Missouri State +3 0.1	✕ Loss	0.0
South Alabama at Marshall	13–20	South Alabama −3	South Alabama −1.5	South Alabama −3.2	South Alabama −3 0.2	✕ Loss	−1.5
New Mexico State at Sam Houston	30–24	New Mexico State −3	New Mexico State −3	New Mexico State −0.8	Sam Houston +3 2.2	✕ Loss	−0.0
James Madison at Appalachian State	31–34	James Madison −11	James Madison −12.5	James Madison −13.1	James Madison −11 2.1	✕ Loss	1.5
Liberty at Kennesaw State	34–6	Liberty −11	Liberty −9	Liberty −11	Liberty −11 0.0	✓ Win	−2.0
East Carolina at Memphis	34–41	Memphis −10	Memphis −10.5	Memphis −10.8	Memphis −10 0.8	✕ Loss	0.5
UMass at UConn	16–35	UConn −16.25	UConn −12.5	UConn −14.7	UMass +16.25 1.6	✕ Loss	3.8
Duke at Virginia	19–16	Virginia −1.5	Virginia −2.5	Virginia −1.2	Duke +1.5 0.2	✓ Win	−1.0
Army at Tulsa	38–35	Army −1	Tulsa −1	Army −1.5	Army −1 0.5	✓ Win	−2.0
Air Force at Wyoming	14–28	Air Force −5.5	Air Force −6	Air Force −6.6	Air Force −5.5 1.1	✕ Loss	0.5
NC State at Stanford	28–31	NC State −7	NC State −7.5	NC State −7.9	NC State −7 0.9	✕ Loss	0.5
Pittsburgh at Miami	23–52	Miami −21	Miami −20.5	Miami −18.6	Pittsburgh +21 2.4	✕ Loss	0.5
Indiana at Michigan	13–6	Indiana −7	Indiana −7.5	Indiana −9.3	Indiana −7 2.3	Push	0.5
West Virginia at TCU	24–20	TCU −8.5	TCU −10.5	TCU −10.6	TCU −8.5 2.1	✕ Loss	2.0
Texas Tech at Cincinnati	24–37	Texas Tech −10.5	Texas Tech −11.5	Texas Tech −12.1	Texas Tech −10.5 1.6	✕ Loss	1.0
California at SMU	20–59	SMU −18.5	SMU −18.5	SMU −17	California +18.5 1.5	✕ Loss	0.0
Rutgers at Northwestern	14–42	Northwestern −16.5	Northwestern −15	Northwestern −15.7	Rutgers +16.5 0.8	✕ Loss	1.5
Rice at Florida Atlantic	49–51	Florida Atlantic −10	Florida Atlantic −9.5	Florida Atlantic −10.3	Florida Atlantic −10 0.3	✕ Loss	−0.5
Western Michigan at Toledo	38–45	Toledo −3.5	Toledo −2.5	Toledo −3.2	Western Michigan +3.5 0.3	✕ Loss	1.0
LSU at Auburn	38–17	LSU −7	LSU −7	LSU −6.9	Auburn +7 0.1	✕ Loss	−0.0
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan	28–27	Miami (OH) −2.5	Miami (OH) −4	Miami (OH) −3.7	Miami (OH) −2.5 1.2	✕ Loss	1.5
Baylor at Kansas	24–25	Baylor −1.5	Kansas −1	Baylor −2.7	Baylor −1.5 1.2	✕ Loss	−2.5
Akron at Kent State	20–35	Kent State −3	Kent State −3	Kent State −2.6	Akron +3 0.4	✕ Loss	0.0
Oregon at Illinois	10–21	Oregon −10.5	Oregon −10	Oregon −11.8	Oregon −10.5 1.3	✕ Loss	−0.5
BYU at UCF	31–39	BYU −6.5	BYU −7.5	BYU −10.7	BYU −6.5 4.2	✕ Loss	1.0
Tennessee at South Carolina	24–27	Tennessee −1.5	South Carolina −2.5	Tennessee −4.9	Tennessee −1.5 3.4	✕ Loss	−4.0
Michigan State at UCLA	10–28	UCLA −14	UCLA −16.5	UCLA −16	UCLA −14 2.0	✓ Win	2.5
Texas A&M at Alabama	20–31	Alabama −14.5	Alabama −13.5	Alabama −12.6	Texas A&M +14.5 1.9	✓ Win	1.0
Boston College at Georgia Tech	49–27	Georgia Tech −5	Georgia Tech −6.5	Georgia Tech −6.7	Georgia Tech −5 1.7	✕ Loss	1.5
Hawai’i at Northern Illinois	56–21	Hawai’i −4.5	Hawai’i −3	Hawai’i −6	Hawai’i −4.5 1.5	✓ Win	−1.5
North Texas at Navy	49–39	North Texas −2	North Texas −3	North Texas −0.8	Navy +2 1.2	✕ Loss	−1.0
Iowa at Minnesota	10–13	Iowa −6.5	Iowa −7.5	Iowa −7.4	Iowa −6.5 0.9	✕ Loss	1.0
Sacramento State at Ball State	17–34	Ball State −11.5	Ball State −14.5	Ball State −10.8	Sacramento State +11.5 0.7	✕ Loss	−3.0
Oklahoma at Mississippi State	23–15	Oklahoma −2.5	Oklahoma −1.5	Oklahoma −2.4	Mississippi State +2.5 0.1	✕ Loss	1.0
Bowling Green at Buffalo	24–31	Buffalo −4.5	Buffalo −3	Buffalo −4.5	Buffalo −4.5 0.1	✓ Win	−1.5
Kansas State at Arizona State	17–28	Kansas State −3.5	Kansas State −1	Kansas State −5.6	Kansas State −3.5 2.1	✕ Loss	−2.5
Eastern Michigan at Ohio	20–24	Ohio −10.5	Ohio −11.5	Ohio −12.2	Ohio −10.5 1.7	✕ Loss	1.0
UL Monroe at Troy	21–14	Troy −17.5	Troy −13	Troy −17.6	Troy −17.5 0.1	✕ Loss	−4.5
Louisiana at Southern Miss	31–35	Louisiana −10.5	Louisiana −10	Louisiana −12.4	Louisiana −10.5 1.9	✕ Loss	−0.5
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech	0–26	Louisiana Tech −10.5	Louisiana Tech −13.5	Louisiana Tech −8.9	Old Dominion +10.5 1.6	✕ Loss	−3.0
San Jose State at Nevada	13–28	Nevada −5.5	Nevada −5.5	Nevada −4.7	San Jose State +5.5 0.8	✕ Loss	0.0
Boise State at Washington State	31–10	Boise State −12.5	Boise State −14.5	Boise State −14.3	Boise State −12.5 1.8	✓ Win	2.0
San Diego State at Colorado State	49–56	San Diego State −2.5	Colorado State −1	San Diego State −1.3	Colorado State +2.5 1.2	✓ Win	3.5
Georgia State at Arkansas State	32–38	Georgia State −2.5	Georgia State −2.5	Arkansas State −1.6	Arkansas State +2.5 4.1	✓ Win	−0.0
Colorado at Oklahoma State	24–57	Oklahoma State −13.5	Oklahoma State −13	Oklahoma State −11.1	Colorado +13.5 2.4	✕ Loss	0.5
Virginia Tech at Clemson	20–16	Clemson −2.5	Clemson −3	Clemson −1.5	Virginia Tech +2.5 1.0	✓ Win	−0.5
Utah State at Texas State	17–20	Texas State −11.5	Texas State −14.5	Texas State −12.2	Texas State −11.5 0.7	✕ Loss	3.0
Iowa State at Arizona	3–39	Arizona −10.25	Arizona −12	Arizona −10.9	Arizona −10.25 0.6	✓ Win	1.8
Ole Miss at Texas	27–34	Texas −3.5	Texas −3	Texas −4.1	Texas −3.5 0.6	✓ Win	−0.5
Syracuse at North Carolina	31–30	North Carolina −9.5	North Carolina −9	North Carolina −9.9	North Carolina −9.5 0.4	✕ Loss	−0.5
USC at Wisconsin	7–24	USC −2.5	USC −2.5	USC −2.5	USC −2.5 0.0	✕ Loss	0.0
Vanderbilt at Kentucky	17–34	Kentucky −11.5	Kentucky −10.5	Kentucky −11.5	Vanderbilt +11.5 0.0	✕ Loss	1.0
UTSA at Tulane	42–19	UTSA −2.5	UTSA −3	UTSA −0.5	Tulane +2.5 2.0	✕ Loss	−0.5
North Dakota State at New Mexico	16–21	New Mexico −4	New Mexico −4.5	New Mexico −3.9	North Dakota State +4 0.1	✕ Loss	−0.5
Houston at Utah	13–21	Utah −6.5	Utah −6.5	Utah −8.4	Utah −6.5 1.9	✓ Win	−0.0

Final shown away–home. Line value = points the line moved toward the pick between Sunday and kickoff.