SharpJuice

2026 college football · FBS

Week 10: model vs. market

62 games. The model line is the average of four public power ratings, compared with the median spread across U.S. sportsbooks. Model published Sun Nov 1; market last updated Sun Nov 1, 9:26 AM ET.

Upcoming games with a 3+ point edge
6
vs. current market
Lines moved toward the model
—
since Sunday's snapshot
Season against the spread
253–238–9
51.5% · break-even 52.4%
Kickoff (ET)GameMarketModelModel edgeSince Sunday
Tue 7:00 PM Ohio at Akron Ohio −12.5 Ohio −14.6 Ohio −12.52.1 No change
Sunday: Ohio −12.5
Tue 8:00 PM Buffalo at Miami (OH) Miami (OH) −6.5 Miami (OH) −8.2 Miami (OH) −6.51.7 No change
Sunday: Miami (OH) −6.5
Wed 7:00 PM Ball State at UMass UMass −3.5 UMass −4.7 UMass −3.51.2 No change
Sunday: UMass −3.5
Wed 7:00 PM Toledo at Sacramento State Toledo −25.5 Toledo −22 Sacramento State +25.53.5 No change
Sunday: Toledo −25.5
Wed 7:30 PM Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan neutral Eastern Michigan −1.5 Central Michigan −0.4 Central Michigan +1.51.9 No change
Sunday: Eastern Michigan −1.5
Thu 7:30 PM UTSA at Florida Atlantic UTSA −7 UTSA −6.3 Florida Atlantic +70.7 No change
Sunday: UTSA −7
Thu 8:00 PM James Madison at Southern Miss James Madison −15 James Madison −16.8 James Madison −151.8 No change
Sunday: James Madison −15
Fri 7:00 PM Virginia Tech at SMU SMU −6.5 SMU −7.3 SMU −6.50.8 No change
Sunday: SMU −6.5
Fri 7:30 PM South Florida at East Carolina East Carolina −1.5 South Florida −2.7 South Florida +1.54.2 No change
Sunday: East Carolina −1.5
Fri 8:00 PM Nebraska at Illinois Nebraska −5 Nebraska −4 Illinois +51.1 No change
Sunday: Nebraska −5
Fri 9:00 PM New Mexico at Nevada New Mexico −10.5 New Mexico −9.7 Nevada +10.50.8 No change
Sunday: New Mexico −10.5
Fri 10:15 PM TCU at Arizona Arizona −9 Arizona −7.3 TCU +91.7 No change
Sunday: Arizona −9
Sat 12:00 PM BYU at Utah Utah −6 Utah −6.7 Utah −60.7 No change
Sunday: Utah −6
Sat 12:00 PM UCLA at Minnesota UCLA −6 UCLA −6.4 UCLA −60.4 No change
Sunday: UCLA −6
Sat 12:00 PM Texas at Missouri Texas −2.5 Texas −4.8 Texas −2.52.4 No change
Sunday: Texas −2.5
Sat 12:00 PM Iowa State at Baylor Baylor −9.5 Baylor −9.9 Baylor −9.50.4 No change
Sunday: Baylor −9.5
Sat 12:00 PM Clemson at Syracuse Clemson −1.5 Clemson −3.4 Clemson −1.51.9 No change
Sunday: Clemson −1.5
Sat 12:00 PM Florida State at Boston College Florida State −6.5 Florida State −6.2 Boston College +6.50.3 No change
Sunday: Florida State −6.5
Sat 12:00 PM North Carolina at UConn North Carolina −7 North Carolina −8.4 North Carolina −71.4 No change
Sunday: North Carolina −7
Sat 12:00 PM Tulsa at Tulane Tulsa −1.5 Tulane −1.7 Tulane +1.53.2 No change
Sunday: Tulsa −1.5
Sat 12:30 PM Duke at NC State Duke −6 Duke −3.8 NC State +62.2 No change
Sunday: Duke −6
Sat 12:30 PM Maryland at Purdue Purdue −6.5 Purdue −6.1 Maryland +6.50.4 No change
Sunday: Purdue −6.5
Sat 12:45 PM Arkansas at Auburn Auburn −10.5 Auburn −9 Arkansas +10.51.5 No change
Sunday: Auburn −10.5
Sat 1:00 PM Oklahoma State at Kansas State Oklahoma State −3.5 Oklahoma State −1.8 Kansas State +3.51.7 No change
Sunday: Oklahoma State −3.5
Sat 1:00 PM Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina −7 Coastal Carolina −6.9 Old Dominion +70.1 No change
Sunday: Coastal Carolina −7
Sat 2:30 PM Georgia State at Appalachian State Appalachian State −3.5 Appalachian State −5.2 Appalachian State −3.51.7 No change
Sunday: Appalachian State −3.5
Sat 3:00 PM Texas A&M at South Carolina South Carolina −7 South Carolina −4.5 Texas A&M +72.5 No change
Sunday: South Carolina −7
Sat 3:00 PM UL Monroe at Arkansas State Arkansas State −14.5 Arkansas State −15.7 Arkansas State −14.51.1 No change
Sunday: Arkansas State −14.5
Sat 3:00 PM Delaware at Kennesaw State Delaware −2.5 Delaware −0.2 Kennesaw State +2.52.2 No change
Sunday: Delaware −2.5
Sat 3:30 PM Alabama at LSU LSU −5.5 LSU −3.6 Alabama +5.51.9 No change
Sunday: LSU −5.5
Sat 3:30 PM Oregon at Ohio State Ohio State −7.5 Ohio State −9.4 Ohio State −7.51.9 No change
Sunday: Ohio State −7.5
Sat 3:30 PM Cincinnati at Houston Houston −10.5 Houston −9.5 Cincinnati +10.51.0 No change
Sunday: Houston −10.5
Sat 3:30 PM Penn State at Washington Washington −1.5 Washington −0.3 Penn State +1.51.2 No change
Sunday: Washington −1.5
Sat 3:30 PM Charlotte at UAB UAB −10.5 UAB −13 UAB −10.52.5 No change
Sunday: UAB −10.5
Sat 3:30 PM Temple at Navy Navy −7.25 Navy −7.7 Navy −7.250.5 No change
Sunday: Navy −7.25
Sat 3:30 PM Marshall at Georgia Southern Georgia Southern −10 Georgia Southern −7.9 Marshall +102.1 No change
Sunday: Georgia Southern −10
Sat 3:30 PM Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee Pick'em Western Kentucky −1.9 Western Kentucky PK1.9 No change
Sunday: Pick'em
Sat 3:45 PM UCF at Kansas Kansas −3 Kansas −3.4 Kansas −30.4 No change
Sunday: Kansas −3
Sat 4:00 PM Rice at North Texas North Texas −16.5 North Texas −16.8 North Texas −16.50.3 No change
Sunday: North Texas −16.5
Sat 4:00 PM Northern Illinois at San Jose State San Jose State −10 San Jose State −12.5 San Jose State −102.5 No change
Sunday: San Jose State −10
Sat 4:00 PM Missouri State at FIU FIU −3.75 FIU −3.5 Missouri State +3.750.3 No change
Sunday: FIU −3.75
Sat 4:00 PM Louisiana Tech at Troy Louisiana Tech −5.25 Louisiana Tech −6 Louisiana Tech −5.250.7 No change
Sunday: Louisiana Tech −5.25
Sat 4:15 PM Vanderbilt at Mississippi State Mississippi State −2.5 Mississippi State −6.3 Mississippi State −2.53.9 No change
Sunday: Mississippi State −2.5
Sat 4:15 PM Rutgers at Wisconsin Wisconsin −17 Wisconsin −15.3 Rutgers +171.7 No change
Sunday: Wisconsin −17
Sat 5:00 PM South Alabama at Louisiana Louisiana −9.5 Louisiana −8.7 South Alabama +9.50.8 No change
Sunday: Louisiana −9.5
Sat 6:00 PM Boise State at Colorado State Boise State −18 Boise State −18.3 Boise State −180.3 No change
Sunday: Boise State −18
Sat 6:15 PM Kentucky at Tennessee Tennessee −6.5 Tennessee −6.5 Kentucky +6.50.0 No change
Sunday: Tennessee −6.5
Sat 7:00 PM Sam Houston at Jacksonville State Jacksonville State −16.75 Jacksonville State −16.5 Sam Houston +16.750.2 No change
Sunday: Jacksonville State −16.75
Sat 7:30 PM Miami at Notre Dame Notre Dame −4.5 Notre Dame −4 Miami +4.50.5 No change
Sunday: Notre Dame −4.5
Sat 7:30 PM Georgia at Ole Miss Georgia −3.5 Georgia −4.4 Georgia −3.50.9 No change
Sunday: Georgia −3.5
Sat 7:30 PM Iowa at Northwestern Northwestern −2 Iowa −1.4 Iowa +23.4 No change
Sunday: Northwestern −2
Sat 7:30 PM Colorado at Arizona State Arizona State −3.5 Arizona State −6 Arizona State −3.52.5 No change
Sunday: Arizona State −3.5
Sat 7:30 PM Louisville at Georgia Tech Louisville −14.5 Louisville −14 Georgia Tech +14.50.5 No change
Sunday: Louisville −14.5
Sat 7:30 PM Michigan State at Michigan Michigan −13 Michigan −13.5 Michigan −130.5 No change
Sunday: Michigan −13
Sat 7:30 PM Air Force at Army Army −3.5 Army −3.4 Air Force +3.50.1 No change
Sunday: Army −3.5
Sat 7:45 PM Oklahoma at Florida Florida −6.5 Florida −3.9 Oklahoma +6.52.6 No change
Sunday: Florida −6.5
Sat 8:00 PM Liberty at New Mexico State Liberty −17 Liberty −17.1 Liberty −170.1 No change
Sunday: Liberty −17
Sat 9:30 PM West Virginia at Texas Tech Texas Tech −17 Texas Tech −16.5 West Virginia +170.5 No change
Sunday: Texas Tech −17
Sat 9:30 PM Fresno State at Utah State Fresno State −2 Fresno State −5.2 Fresno State −23.2 No change
Sunday: Fresno State −2
Sat 9:30 PM Hawai’i at UTEP Hawai’i −9.5 Hawai’i −9.4 UTEP +9.50.1 No change
Sunday: Hawai’i −9.5
Sat 10:30 PM Texas State at Oregon State Oregon State −7 Oregon State −4.7 Texas State +72.3 No change
Sunday: Oregon State −7
Sat 10:30 PM Wyoming at UNLV UNLV −7 UNLV −8.2 UNLV −71.2 No change
Sunday: UNLV −7

Model edge = model line minus market line, shown as the side the model prefers with that side's spread, and the size of the gap in points. For games not yet played it uses the current market line; once a game kicks off it shows the graded pick, made against Sunday's line. Win/Loss/Push grades that pick. Lines shown from the favorite's side; "neutral" marks neutral-site games (no home-field value).